Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.002382 0.002531 0.002689 0.002872 0.003077 0.003302 0.003570
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002174 0.002380 0.002613 0.002897 0.003241 0.003649 0.004183
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002039 0.002284 0.002573 0.002944 0.003421 0.004031 0.004906
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001904 0.002169 0.002490 0.002919 0.003499 0.004287 0.005515
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001827 0.002114 0.002471 0.002967 0.003669 0.004687 0.006429
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001742 0.002038 0.002416 0.002956 0.003751 0.004970 0.007238
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001655 0.001954 0.002341 0.002906 0.003765 0.005142 0.007905
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001620 0.001933 0.002347 0.002971 0.003957 0.005642 0.009418
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001583 0.001905 0.002342 0.003015 0.004122 0.006129 0.011179
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001521 0.001841 0.002280 0.002967 0.004125 0.006308 0.012277
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001452 0.001764 0.002195 0.002876 0.004041 0.006296 0.012828
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001413 0.001726 0.002163 0.002866 0.004099 0.006594 0.014598
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001328 0.001624 0.002036 0.002699 0.003866 0.006235 0.013899
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001302 0.001602 0.002026 0.002724 0.003990 0.006710 0.016914
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001282 0.001588 0.002028 0.002767 0.004154 0.007337 0.021825
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001247 0.001552 0.001994 0.002745 0.004189 0.007650 0.025922
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001230 0.001541 0.001997 0.002787 0.004360 0.008403 0.036551
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001203 0.001513 0.001972 0.002778 0.004421 0.008859 0.048280
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001169 0.001474 0.001928 0.002733 0.004397 0.009043 0.058921
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001160 0.001471 0.001941 0.002791 0.004613 0.010149 0.127004
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001147 0.001463 0.001944 0.002831 0.004796 0.011264 0.569873
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001118 0.001429 0.001905 0.002788 0.004769 0.011517 5.717433
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001084 0.001385 0.001847 0.002706 0.004637 0.011253 67.442197